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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Fiscal and monetary policies will continue to be strengthened. Next year, we will emphasize the "combination boxing". In 2025, China will "implement a more active and promising macro policy". According to the deployment of the Central Economic Work Conference, as two important pillars in the macroeconomic governance system, fiscal policy will be "more active" than before, maintaining policy continuity and releasing the determination to overweight policies; Monetary policy will turn to "moderate easing" and continue to adhere to the position of supportive monetary policy. "Precious policy tools should be used at critical stages." Insiders say that in the stage of insufficient effective credit demand and weak market expectations, boost market confidence; At the stage of accelerating the issuance of government bonds, supporting a more active fiscal policy is effective and laying a good policy "combination boxing". (Securities Times)2 trillion yuan of special refinancing bonds will be issued next week. According to China Bond Information Network, Beijing plans to issue the eleventh batch of government bonds in Beijing in 2024 by tender on December 18th. By then, the task of issuing 2 trillion yuan of local government refinancing special bonds to "replace the hidden debts in stock" will be completed during the year. At present, 29 provinces have disclosed the issuance arrangement of special refinancing special bonds, while Guangdong Province and Shanghai did not participate in this round of hidden debt swap. (Securities Times)

Israeli bombing of Nuseilet refugee camp in central Gaza has killed 25 people. On the evening of 12th, local time, the reporter of the Headquarters learned that Israeli bombing of a building in Nuseilet refugee camp in central Gaza has killed 25 people and injured many others.Boeing: The expansion plant in Charleston County is expected to be put into operation in early 2027.IBM and Illinois will establish a national quantum algorithm center with universities and industries in Chicago. On December 12th, local time, IBM and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker announced that they would cooperate to establish a new national quantum algorithm center in the Illinois Quantum and Microelectronics Park (IQMP) in Chicago. The center is jointly supported by IBM and other quantum computing pioneers, including the University of Chicago and the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, and will be supported by IBM's next-generation quantum computer, IBM Quantum System Two, which the company plans to deploy in Chicago next year.

Market news: OpenAI announced on Thursday that it is launching a new function that allows users to share the real-time video of mobile phone screen and mobile phone in the advanced voice mode of ChatGPT mobile application. This way, users don't have to upload photos or describe the surrounding environment in chat.The winning bid rate of US 30-year bonds is 4.535%, which is higher than the pre-issuance transaction rate. The US Treasury continued to issue US$ 22 billion of 30-year bonds, with a winning bid rate of 4.535%. The pre-issuance transaction rate was 4.523% when the tender closed at 1 pm new york time. The proportion of primary dealers was 14.4%, which was higher than the previous one. The proportion of direct bidders was reduced to 19.1%, and the proportion of indirect bidders was increased to 66.5%. The bid multiple is 2.39 times, which is lower than the average of 2.42 times in the past six renewal transactions.Market News: If Trump increases import duties on Canada, Canada will consider imposing export duties on uranium and oil.